relative occurrence
FDR-Controlled Portfolio Optimization for Sparse Financial Index Tracking
Machkour, Jasin, Palomar, Daniel P., Muma, Michael
In high-dimensional data analysis, such as financial index tracking or biomedical applications, it is crucial to select the few relevant variables while maintaining control over the false discovery rate (FDR). In these applications, strong dependencies often exist among the variables (e.g., stock returns), which can undermine the FDR control property of existing methods like the model-X knockoff method or the T-Rex selector. To address this issue, we have expanded the T-Rex framework to accommodate overlapping groups of highly correlated variables. This is achieved by integrating a nearest neighbors penalization mechanism into the framework, which provably controls the FDR at the user-defined target level. A real-world example of sparse index tracking demonstrates the proposed method's ability to accurately track the S&P 500 index over the past 20 years based on a small number of stocks. An open-source implementation is provided within the R package TRexSelector on CRAN.
High-Dimensional False Discovery Rate Control for Dependent Variables
Machkour, Jasin, Muma, Michael, Palomar, Daniel P.
Algorithms that ensure reproducible findings from large-scale, high-dimensional data are pivotal in numerous signal processing applications. In recent years, multivariate false discovery rate (FDR) controlling methods have emerged, providing guarantees even in high-dimensional settings where the number of variables surpasses the number of samples. However, these methods often fail to reliably control the FDR in the presence of highly dependent variable groups, a common characteristic in fields such as genomics and finance. To tackle this critical issue, we introduce a novel framework that accounts for general dependency structures. Our proposed dependency-aware T-Rex selector integrates hierarchical graphical models within the T-Rex framework to effectively harness the dependency structure among variables. Leveraging martingale theory, we prove that our variable penalization mechanism ensures FDR control. We further generalize the FDR-controlling framework by stating and proving a clear condition necessary for designing both graphical and non-graphical models that capture dependencies. Additionally, we formulate a fully integrated optimal calibration algorithm that concurrently determines the parameters of the graphical model and the T-Rex framework, such that the FDR is controlled while maximizing the number of selected variables. Numerical experiments and a breast cancer survival analysis use-case demonstrate that the proposed method is the only one among the state-of-the-art benchmark methods that controls the FDR and reliably detects genes that have been previously identified to be related to breast cancer. An open-source implementation is available within the R package TRexSelector on CRAN.
The Terminating-Knockoff Filter: Fast High-Dimensional Variable Selection with False Discovery Rate Control
Machkour, Jasin, Muma, Michael, Palomar, Daniel P.
We propose the Terminating-Knockoff (T-Knock) filter, a fast variable selection method for high-dimensional data. The T-Knock filter controls a user-defined target false discovery rate (FDR) while maximizing the number of selected true positives. This is achieved by fusing the solutions of multiple early terminated random experiments. The experiments are conducted on a combination of the original data and multiple sets of randomly generated knockoff variables. A finite sample proof based on martingale theory for the FDR control property is provided. Numerical simulations show that the FDR is controlled at the target level while allowing for a high power. We prove under mild conditions that the knockoffs can be sampled from any univariate distribution. The computational complexity of the proposed method is derived and it is demonstrated via numerical simulations that the sequential computation time is multiple orders of magnitude lower than that of the strongest benchmark methods in sparse high-dimensional settings. The T-Knock filter outperforms state-of-the-art methods for FDR control on a simulated genome-wide association study (GWAS), while its computation time is more than two orders of magnitude lower than that of the strongest benchmark methods.
A Short Introduction to Using Word2Vec for Text Classification
Machine learning applications on natural language are an extremely important tool in the data scientist's toolbox. Use cases can include auto-detecting the language of a website, detecting spam in your spam filter, or auto-completing search queries. When you're working with text data, an important use case is text classification, where the data scientist is tasked with creating an algorithm that can figure out what a bit of text is all about (what is the tagline) based on what is written in the document. This can be used in a myriad of examples we see everyday, tagging things such as blog articles, app descriptions, and reviews. In many cases traditional text classification can be difficult to scale, because as the order of the taxonomy count increases, the amount of training required increases as well.